Erzgebirge Aue vs MSV Duisburg
Main pickOver 2.5 Goals
Conf 7.5/10Odds 1.53
GoalPulz tips
Main tipvoid
Over 2.5 Goals1.53
Erzgebirge Aue 80% O2.5 + MSV Duisburg 70% O2.5. Kombinert målprofil 3.5 mål per kamp. H2H støtter 50% O2.5 over 8 kamper.
7.5/10
Main tipmiss
BTTS: Yes1.57
BTTS-rate 90% Aue + 70% Duisburg. Systemprioritet scorer 90 på målprofil. 50% BTTS i H2H. Begge lag sjelden holder clean sheet (CS: 0% Aue, 20% Duisburg).
7.2/10
Model intelligenceThe data behind the tips
Win probability, expected-goals strength and conditions — the evidence backing the editorial picks.
Probabilities
1x2 drawlow49%
Form 50%Season 31%Table 10%Venue 40%Trend 50%H2H 100%
1x2 awaylow31%
Form 20%Season 49%Table 86%Venue 30%Trend 17%H2H 0%
1x2 homelow20%
Form 30%Season 20%Table 4%Venue 30%Trend 33%H2H 0%
btts yesmedium65%
Form 80%Season 65%Venue 70%Trend 67%H2H 40%
corners over 7.5medium55%
Form 50%Season 29%Venue 50%Trend 67%H2H 80%
cards over 2.5low52%
Form 40%Season 45%Venue 50%Trend 50%H2H 80%
xG table (season)
0.00xG for0.00
0.00xG against0.00
0.00xG diff0.00
#15/20#13/20
Weather
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moderate rain
Wind 3.68 m/s · Humidity —%
Basert på siste tilgjengelige kamper og statistikk · oppdatert 8. mai 2026
Methodology & disclosure: GoalPulz predictions are generated by a transparent statistical model (Poisson goal distribution driven by expected goals, recent form and home/away splits) and written with AI assistance, then published by GoalPulz Editorial. Predictions are for analysis and entertainment only — they are not betting advice. How our model works →