91.1% sannsynlighet Monza scorer minst 1 mål med +5.6% EV. Monza scorer i 91% av kampene. Modena forsvarer svakt med 1.4 mål mot per kamp.
9.1/10
Supporthit
Under 10.0 Corners1.65
83.7% sannsynlighet Under 11.5 cornere med +7.1% EV. Gjennomsnitt 8.0 cornere. Begge lag har kontrollert spill med få avbrudd.
8.4/10
Riskhit
Home1.61
Monza har 60% vinnerate og sterk hjemmekort. 2 seire på siste 2 kamper. Modena med svak form (1 seier på 5). Odds gir verdi.
6/10
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Model intelligenceThe data behind the tips
Win probability, expected-goals strength and conditions — the evidence backing the editorial picks.
Probabilities
1x2 homemedium61%
Form 60%Season 47%Table 71%Venue 60%Trend 67%H2H 67%
1x2 drawlow26%
Form 20%Season 26%Table 17%Venue 40%Trend 17%H2H 33%
1x2 awaylow13%
Form 20%Season 27%Table 12%Venue 0%Trend 17%H2H 0%
goals over 0.5medium58%
Form 60%Season 68%Venue 60%Trend 33%H2H 67%
btts yeslow51%
Form 60%Season 50%Venue 60%Trend 50%H2H 33%
corners over 6.5high72%
Form 80%Season 43%Venue 80%Trend 83%
xG table (season)
0.00xG for0.00
0.00xG against0.00
0.00xG diff0.00
#1/21#8/21
Weather
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scattered clouds
Wind 2.18 m/s · Humidity —%
Basert på siste tilgjengelige kamper og statistikk · oppdatert 24. april 2026
Methodology & disclosure: GoalPulz predictions are generated by a transparent statistical model (Poisson goal distribution driven by expected goals, recent form and home/away splits) and written with AI assistance, then published by GoalPulz Editorial. Predictions are for analysis and entertainment only — they are not betting advice. How our model works →
