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Excelsior vs NAC Breda – Eredivisie
Form Intelligence
medium dataExcelsior
25
Intel score
NAC Breda form edge
NAC Breda rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (53 vs 25).
65% confNAC Breda
53
Intel score
NAC Breda carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Excelsior: 0.95 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- NAC Breda: 1.32 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 5 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Excelsior→ stable
0.95weighted PPG
raw 0.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.84Venue-adj 1.00
65% conf · n=10NAC Breda→ stable
1.32weighted PPG
raw 1.10 · vol high
Opponent-adj 0.91Venue-adj 0.67
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Excelsior
artificial turf pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable