Tonga vs Cook Islands – WC Qualification Oceania

Match Intelligence Center

WC Qualification Oceania·Oceania·🕒 Sat, 15 May 2004, 01:00

⚽ 46'⚽ 61'

FULL TIME

2:1

⚽ 59'

medium data

Tonga

Intel score

Tonga form edge

Tonga rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (42 vs 29).

65% conf

Cook Islands

Intel score

Tonga carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.

Tonga: 0.9 weighted PPG (rising), opponent read proven.
Cook Islands: 0.72 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read volatile.
Goals shape leans over 2.5 (85% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
Over-shape vs low scoring: Recent over-2.5 rate is high, but both teams average under 1.2 goals — treat the over lean with caution.

Tonga▲ rising

0.90weighted PPG

raw 0.60 · vol medium

Opponent-adj 0.00Venue-adj 0.50

65% conf · n=10

Cook Islands→ stable

0.72weighted PPG

raw 0.90 · vol high

Venue-adj 0.50

65% conf · n=10

Tonga

Surface unknown