Standings recalculated from verified match xG rather than actual goals. ฮ compares real vs expected.
This table recalculates league performance from verified match xG using an xG result model with draw threshold. ฮ Pts compares actual points against expected โ positive means a team is outperforming its chance quality.
xPoints/xGF/xGA from match xG. ฮ = actual minus expected. Click any column to sort.
| xPos | Team | xPts โ | xGF | xGA | xGD | ฮ pos | ฮ pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentina | 19.0 | 13.1 | 3.7 | +9.4 | 0 | -10 |
| 2 | Spain | 19.0 | 12.3 | 2.9 | +9.4 | -1 | -12 |
| 3 | Brazil | 15.0 | 9.6 | 3.7 | +5.9 | -2 | -8 |
| 4 | France | 15.0 | 11.0 | 5.2 | +5.8 | -3 | -6 |
| 5 | Canada | 13.0 | 9.5 | 2.8 | +6.7 | -3 | -9 |
| 6 | Colombia | 13.0 | 7.4 | 3.2 | +4.3 | -5 | -6 |
| 7 | England | 12.0 | 11.2 | 6.3 | +5.0 | -6 | -5 |
| 8 | Mexico | 12.0 | 6.6 | 4.3 | +2.3 | -7 | -3 |
| 9 | Belgium | 10.0 | 12.3 | 7.5 | +4.8 | -8 | -5 |
| 10 | Morocco | 10.0 | 6.8 | 5.8 | +1.1 | -8 | -3 |
| 11 | Switzerland | 9.0 | 9.5 | 5.9 | +3.6 | -10 | -2 |
| 12 | Tรผrkiye | 9.0 | 6.2 | 2.6 | +3.6 | -8 | -6 |
| 13 | Senegal | 9.0 | 8.8 | 5.4 | +3.4 | -10 | -6 |
| 14 | Netherlands | 9.0 | 6.0 | 3.2 | +2.8 | -13 | -2 |
| 15 | United States | 9.0 | 6.6 | 5.6 | +1.0 | -14 | -3 |
| 16 | Portugal | 8.0 | 7.7 | 5.1 | +2.6 | -14 | -3 |
| 17 | Cรดte d'Ivoire | 8.0 | 6.8 | 5.3 | +1.5 | -15 | -2 |
| 18 | Norway | 8.0 | 9.7 | 9.9 | -0.2 | -16 | -2 |
| 19 | Germany | 7.0 | 9.4 | 4.5 | +4.9 | -18 | -1 |
| 20 | Korea Republic | 7.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | +1.4 | -17 | -4 |
| 21 | Uruguay | 6.0 | 4.0 | 1.9 | +2.1 | -18 | -4 |
| 22 | Ecuador | 6.0 | 6.6 | 4.7 | +2.0 | -19 | -2 |
| 23 | Egypt | 5.0 | 6.0 | 8.5 | -2.6 | -21 | 0 |
| 24 | Congo DR | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.1 | +0.0 | -21 | 0 |
| 25 | Iran | 4.0 | 4.4 | 4.4 | -0.0 | -22 | -1 |
| 26 | Japan | 4.0 | 3.7 | 4.0 | -0.3 | -24 | +1 |
| 27 | Algeria | 4.0 | 4.2 | 4.7 | -0.5 | -24 | 0 |
| 28 | South Africa | 4.0 | 2.8 | 4.7 | -1.9 | -26 | 0 |
| 29 | Australia | 4.0 | 2.9 | 4.8 | -1.9 | -27 | 0 |
| 30 | Sweden | 4.0 | 4.3 | 6.4 | -2.1 | -27 | 0 |
| 31 | Ghana | 4.0 | 2.7 | 4.9 | -2.3 | -28 | 0 |
| 32 | Austria | 4.0 | 3.9 | 7.0 | -3.2 | -30 | 0 |
| 33 | Croatia | 4.0 | 3.5 | 6.8 | -3.2 | -31 | +2 |
| 34 | Cape Verde Islands | 3.0 | 2.7 | 7.1 | -4.4 | -32 | 0 |
| 35 | Qatar | 3.0 | 1.7 | 8.5 | -6.8 | -31 | -2 |
| 36 | Panama | 1.0 | 2.9 | 4.1 | -1.2 | -32 | -1 |
| 37 | Scotland | 1.0 | 3.4 | 5.1 | -1.8 | -34 | +2 |
| 38 | Haiti | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5.7 | -4.0 | -34 | -1 |
| 39 | Uzbekistan | 1.0 | 1.6 | 6.2 | -4.6 | -35 | -1 |
| 40 | New Zealand | 1.0 | 2.7 | 7.8 | -5.1 | -36 | 0 |
| 44 | Jordan | 0.0 | 1.7 | 5.9 | -4.2 | -40 | 0 |
| 45 | Tunisia | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.5 | -4.6 | -41 | 0 |
| 46 | Iraq | 0.0 | 2.2 | 7.4 | -5.1 | -42 | 0 |
| 47 | Curacao | 0.0 | 1.5 | 8.3 | -6.8 | -43 | +1 |
| 48 | Paraguay | 0.0 | 1.8 | 9.0 | -7.3 | -45 | +4 |
| 41 | Czech Republic | 0.0 | 2.7 | 4.8 | -2.1 | -37 | +1 |
| 42 | Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.7 | -3.2 | -39 | +4 |
| 43 | Saudi Arabia | 0.0 | 1.3 | 5.5 | -4.2 | -39 | +2 |
Above the dashed line = clinical (scoring more than xG); below = wasteful. Labelled dots are the biggest outliers.
xGoT = on-target ยท npxG = penalty-stripped ยท Finishing = goalsโxG ยท Defending = xGAโconceded. Click any column to sort.
| Team | xG โ | xGoT | npxG | Goals | Finishing โ | xGA | Conc | Defending โ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 13.1 | 13.8 | 10.7 | 19 | +5.9 | 3.7 | 7 | -3.3 |
| Belgium | 12.3 | 13.3 | 11.5 | 14 | +1.7 | 7.5 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Spain | 12.3 | 12.2 | 11.5 | 13 | +0.7 | 2.9 | 1 | +1.9 |
| England | 11.2 | 15.5 | 9.6 | 14 | +2.8 | 6.3 | 8 | -1.7 |
| France | 11.0 | 12.9 | 9.4 | 16 | +5.0 | 5.2 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Norway | 9.7 | 11.0 | 8.9 | 13 | +3.3 | 9.9 | 11 | -1.1 |
| Brazil | 9.6 | 10.1 | 8.0 | 10 | +0.4 | 3.7 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Switzerland | 9.5 | 9.5 | 8.0 | 10 | +0.5 | 5.9 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Canada | 9.5 | 12.6 | 9.5 | 9 | -0.5 | 2.8 | 6 | -3.2 |
| Germany | 9.4 | 12.1 | 8.6 | 11 | +1.6 | 4.5 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Senegal | 8.8 | 8.3 | 8.8 | 10 | +1.2 | 5.4 | 9 | -3.6 |
| Portugal | 7.7 | 7.1 | 7.0 | 8 | +0.3 | 5.1 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Colombia | 7.4 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 5 | -2.4 | 3.2 | 1 | +2.2 |
| Morocco | 6.8 | 8.2 | 6.8 | 10 | +3.2 | 5.8 | 6 | -0.3 |
| Cรดte d'Ivoire | 6.8 | 6.7 | 6.8 | 5 | -1.8 | 5.3 | 4 | +1.3 |
| Ecuador | 6.6 | 5.4 | 6.6 | 2 | -4.6 | 4.7 | 4 | +0.7 |
| United States | 6.6 | 7.6 | 6.6 | 11 | +4.4 | 5.6 | 8 | -2.4 |
| Mexico | 6.6 | 7.2 | 5.8 | 10 | +3.4 | 4.3 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Tรผrkiye | 6.2 | 4.4 | 6.2 | 3 | -3.2 | 2.6 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Netherlands | 6.0 | 8.4 | 6.0 | 11 | +5.0 | 3.2 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Egypt | 6.0 | 5.9 | 6.0 | 8 | +2.0 | 8.5 | 7 | +1.5 |
| Iran | 4.4 | 4.4 | 3.6 | 3 | -1.4 | 4.4 | 3 | +1.4 |
| Sweden | 4.3 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 7 | +2.7 | 6.4 | 10 | -3.6 |
| Algeria | 4.2 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 | 4.7 | 9 | -4.3 |
| Congo DR | 4.1 | 3.0 | 3.3 | 5 | +0.9 | 4.1 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Korea Republic | 4.1 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 2 | -2.1 | 2.6 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Uruguay | 4.0 | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 | 1.9 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Austria | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 6 | +2.1 | 7.0 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Japan | 3.7 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 8 | +4.3 | 4.0 | 5 | -1.0 |
| Croatia | 3.5 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 6 | +2.5 | 6.8 | 7 | -0.2 |
| Scotland | 3.4 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 | 5.1 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Australia | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 | 4.8 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Panama | 2.9 | 2.3 | 2.9 | 0 | -2.9 | 4.1 | 4 | +0.1 |
| South Africa | 2.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2 | -0.8 | 4.7 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Cape Verde Islands | 2.7 | 2.5 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 | 7.1 | 5 | +2.1 |
| Czech Republic | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 | 4.8 | 6 | -1.2 |
| New Zealand | 2.7 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 | 7.8 | 10 | -2.2 |
| Ghana | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2 | -0.7 | 4.9 | 3 | +1.9 |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 | 5.7 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Iraq | 2.2 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 | 7.4 | 12 | -4.6 |
| Paraguay | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 | 9.0 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Qatar | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 | 8.5 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Haiti | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 | 5.7 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Jordan | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 | 5.9 | 8 | -2.1 |
| Uzbekistan | 1.6 | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 | 6.2 | 11 | -4.8 |
| Curacao | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 | 8.3 | 9 | -0.7 |
| Saudi Arabia | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 | 5.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| Tunisia | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 | 5.5 | 12 | -6.5 |