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Aarau vs Thun – Challenge League
xG
——
Shots
1116
Possession
52%48%
Corners
23
Cards
54
Fouls
2122
Form Intelligence
medium dataAarau
46
Intel score
Aarau form edge
Aarau rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (46 vs 26).
65% confThun
26
Intel score
Aarau carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Aarau: 1.74 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Thun: 0.59 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Aarau→ stable
1.74weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.74Venue-adj 2.00
65% conf · n=10Thun→ stable
0.59weighted PPG
raw 0.60 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.25
66% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Aarau
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable