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AC Milan vs Atalanta – Serie A
Serie A
xG
——
Shots
815
Possession
40%60%
Corners
46
Cards
——
Fouls
00
Form Intelligence
high dataAC Milan
42
Intel score
AC Milan form edge
AC Milan rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (42 vs 34).
83% confAtalanta
34
Intel score
AC Milan carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- AC Milan: 1 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read understated.
- Atalanta: 1.26 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 4 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
AC Milan↯ volatile
1.00weighted PPG
raw 1.00 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.05Venue-adj 0.80
85% conf · n=10Atalanta→ stable
1.26weighted PPG
raw 1.30 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.29Venue-adj 1.60
83% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
AC Milan
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable