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AC Milan vs Lecce – Serie A
xG
1.720.54
Shots
1516
Possession
57%43%
Corners
47
Cards
21
Fouls
58
Form Intelligence
high dataAC Milan
42
Intel score
Lecce form edge
Lecce rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (52 vs 42).
81% confLecce
52
Intel score
Lecce carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- AC Milan: 1 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read understated.
- Lecce: 1.58 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read volatile.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 4 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
AC Milan↯ volatile
1.00weighted PPG
raw 1.00 · vol high
Opponent-adj 0.79Venue-adj 0.80
85% conf · n=10Lecce→ stable
1.58weighted PPG
raw 1.40 · vol high
Opponent-adj 0.86Venue-adj 2.00
81% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
AC Milan
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable