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AEL vs Pafos FC – 1. Division
Match Intelligence Center
1. Division
Stadium
Alphamega Stadium
Capacity
10,900
Pitch
Grass
Form Intelligence
medium dataAEL
25
Intel score
Pafos FC form edge
Pafos FC rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (45 vs 25).
65% confPafos FC
45
Intel score
Pafos FC carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- AEL: 0.95 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Pafos FC: 1.33 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read volatile.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 5 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
AEL→ stable
0.95weighted PPG
raw 0.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.41Venue-adj 0.57
65% conf · n=10Pafos FC→ stable
1.33weighted PPG
raw 1.40 · vol high
Venue-adj 0.83
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
AEL
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable