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AFC Bournemouth vs Arsenal – Premier League
Match Intelligence Center
FULL TIME
2:3
HT 1–1
Stadium
Vitality Stadium
Capacity
11,700
Pitch
Grass
xG
1.021.08
Shots
1512
Possession
43%57%
Corners
75
Cards
31
Fouls
138
Form Intelligence
high dataAFC Bournemouth
67
Intel score
AFC Bournemouth form edge
AFC Bournemouth rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (67 vs 58).
85% confArsenal
58
Intel score
AFC Bournemouth carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- AFC Bournemouth: 1.82 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Arsenal: 2.19 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Inflated form: Arsenal's strong run is built on bottom-half opponents.
True Form (weighted)
AFC Bournemouth→ stable
1.82weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.68Venue-adj 1.40
85% conf · n=10Arsenal→ stable
2.19weighted PPG
raw 2.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.05Venue-adj 1.60
85% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
AFC Bournemouth