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Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest – Premier League
xG
2.560.49
Shots
165
Possession
54%46%
Corners
83
Cards
11
Fouls
811
Form Intelligence
high dataArsenal
58
Intel score
Nottingham Forest form edge
Nottingham Forest rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (71 vs 58).
81% confNottingham Forest
71
Intel score
Nottingham Forest carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Arsenal: 2.19 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Nottingham Forest: 2 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Inflated form: Arsenal's strong run is built on bottom-half opponents.
True Form (weighted)
Arsenal→ stable
2.19weighted PPG
raw 2.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.05Venue-adj 2.60
85% conf · n=10Nottingham Forest→ stable
2.00weighted PPG
raw 2.00 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.79Venue-adj 1.80
81% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Arsenal
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable