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Aston Villa vs Liverpool – Premier League
Match Intelligence Center
FULL TIME
2:2
HT 2–1
Stadium
Villa Park
Capacity
42,640
Pitch
Grass
xG
0.932.03
Shots
917
Possession
52%48%
Corners
68
Cards
10
Fouls
86
Form Intelligence
medium dataAston Villa
66
Intel score
Aston Villa form edge
Aston Villa rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (66 vs 27).
69% confLiverpool
27
Intel score
Aston Villa carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Aston Villa: 2.1 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read volatile.
- Liverpool: 1.02 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Aston Villa→ stable
2.10weighted PPG
raw 1.90 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.46Venue-adj 2.40
73% conf · n=10Liverpool→ stable
1.02weighted PPG
raw 1.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.11Venue-adj 0.60
69% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Aston Villa
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable