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Atlas vs Toluca β Liga MX
Match Intelligence Center
Liga MX
FULL TIME
2:3
HT 2β2
Toluca won after full-time.
β½ Paulinho 15'β½ Paulinho 24'β½ Paulinho 77'
Stadium
Estadio Jalisco
Capacity
55,110
Pitch
Grass
Weather
14Β°C Β· Broken clouds Β· 4 m/s
xG
ββ
Shots
1513
Possession
43%57%
Corners
74
Cards
44
Fouls
1812
Form Intelligence
high dataAtlas
52
Intel score
Atlas form edge
Atlas rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (52 vs 36).
83% confToluca
36
Intel score
Atlas carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Atlas: 1.28 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Toluca: 0.78 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read understated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (30% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 6 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Atlasβ stable
1.28weighted PPG
raw 1.30 Β· vol medium
Venue-adj 0.75
85% conf Β· n=10Tolucaβ stable
0.78weighted PPG
raw 0.70 Β· vol medium
Venue-adj 0.50
83% conf Β· n=10Surface & Venue
Atlas
grass pitch Β· per-surface metrics unavailable
Toluca
grass pitch Β· per-surface metrics unavailable