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Baden vs Aarau – Challenge League
xG
——
Shots
1212
Possession
50%50%
Corners
25
Cards
14
Fouls
811
Form Intelligence
medium dataBaden
6
Intel score
Aarau form edge
Aarau rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (64 vs 6).
65% confAarau
64
Intel score
Aarau carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Baden: 0.24 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Aarau: 1.74 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (85% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Baden→ stable
0.24weighted PPG
raw 0.20 · vol low
Opponent-adj 0.25Venue-adj 0.17
65% conf · n=10Aarau→ stable
1.74weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 2.21Venue-adj 1.60
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Baden
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable