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Bastia vs Montpellier – Ligue 2
xG
——
Shots
159
Possession
56%44%
Corners
61
Cards
44
Fouls
1418
Form Intelligence
medium dataBastia
21
Intel score
Montpellier form edge
Montpellier rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (53 vs 21).
65% confMontpellier
53
Intel score
Montpellier carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Bastia: 0.78 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Montpellier: 2 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Inflated form: Montpellier's strong run is built on bottom-half opponents.
True Form (weighted)
Bastia→ stable
0.78weighted PPG
raw 0.70 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.65Venue-adj 0.25
65% conf · n=10Montpellier→ stable
2.00weighted PPG
raw 1.90 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.44Venue-adj 1.50
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Bastia
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable