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Brest vs Auxerre – Ligue 1
xG
2.451.30
Shots
1811
Possession
64%36%
Corners
64
Cards
22
Fouls
912
Form Intelligence
high dataBrest
13
Intel score
Auxerre form edge
Auxerre rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (73 vs 13).
83% confAuxerre
73
Intel score
Auxerre carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Brest: 0.48 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Auxerre: 2.05 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Brest→ stable
0.48weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol low
Opponent-adj 0.34Venue-adj 0.60
83% conf · n=10Auxerre→ stable
2.05weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.67Venue-adj 1.00
83% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Brest
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable