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Burnley vs Aston Villa – Premier League
Match Intelligence Center
Premier League
FULL TIME
1:3
HT 0–2
Stadium
Turf Moor
Capacity
22,546
Pitch
Grass
Form Intelligence
low dataBurnley
19
Intel score
Aston Villa form edge
Aston Villa rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (66 vs 19).
50% confAston Villa
66
Intel score
Aston Villa carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Burnley: 0.32 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Aston Villa: 2.1 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Burnley→ stable
0.32weighted PPG
raw 0.30 · vol low
Venue-adj 0.50
50% conf · n=10Aston Villa→ stable
2.10weighted PPG
raw 1.90 · vol high
Venue-adj 1.40
58% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Burnley
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable