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Chelsea vs AFC Wimbledon – Carabao Cup
Match Intelligence Center
FULL TIME
2:1
HT 1–1
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Capacity
40,341
Pitch
Grass
Form Intelligence
low dataChelsea
26
Intel score
AFC Wimbledon form edge
AFC Wimbledon rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (36 vs 26).
50% confAFC Wimbledon
36
Intel score
AFC Wimbledon carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Chelsea: 0.6 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- AFC Wimbledon: 0.97 weighted PPG (rising), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Underrated output: Chelsea average 1.70 xG/game despite 0.6 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Chelsea→ stable
0.60weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.50
52% conf · n=10AFC Wimbledon▲ rising
0.97weighted PPG
raw 0.70 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.20
50% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Chelsea
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable