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Chelsea vs Barnsley – Carabao Cup
Form Intelligence
low dataChelsea
26
Intel score
Barnsley form edge
Barnsley rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (34 vs 26).
50% confBarnsley
34
Intel score
Barnsley carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Chelsea: 0.6 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Barnsley: 0.89 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Underrated output: Chelsea average 1.70 xG/game despite 0.6 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Chelsea→ stable
0.60weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.50
52% conf · n=10Barnsley→ stable
0.89weighted PPG
raw 0.90 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.14
50% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Chelsea
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable