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Chelsea vs Everton – Premier League
Form Intelligence
medium dataChelsea
31
Intel score
Chelsea form edge
Chelsea rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (31 vs 19).
65% confEverton
19
Intel score
Chelsea carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Chelsea: 0.6 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read understated.
- Everton: 0.72 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (70% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Underrated output: Chelsea average 1.70 xG/game despite 0.6 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Chelsea→ stable
0.60weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.39Venue-adj 0.50
67% conf · n=10Everton→ stable
0.72weighted PPG
raw 0.90 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.89Venue-adj 0.40
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Chelsea
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable