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Chelsea vs Manchester City – Premier League
xG
1.122.03
Shots
1218
Possession
37%63%
Corners
412
Cards
31
Fouls
1015
Form Intelligence
high dataChelsea
16
Intel score
Manchester City form edge
Manchester City rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (64 vs 16).
83% confManchester City
64
Intel score
Manchester City carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Chelsea: 0.6 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Manchester City: 1.74 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Chelsea→ stable
0.60weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.42Venue-adj 0.60
85% conf · n=10Manchester City→ stable
1.74weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 2.00Venue-adj 1.80
83% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Chelsea
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable