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Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest – Premier League
Match Intelligence Center
Premier League
Stadium
Stamford Bridge
Capacity
40,341
Pitch
Grass
Form Intelligence
low dataChelsea
26
Intel score
Nottingham Forest form edge
Nottingham Forest rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (58 vs 26).
52% confNottingham Forest
58
Intel score
Nottingham Forest carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Chelsea: 0.6 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Nottingham Forest: 1.81 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Underrated output: Chelsea average 1.70 xG/game despite 0.6 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Chelsea→ stable
0.60weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.50
52% conf · n=10Nottingham Forest→ stable
1.81weighted PPG
raw 2.00 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.80
56% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Chelsea
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable