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Chelsea vs Watford – FA Cup
FA Cup
Form Intelligence
low dataChelsea
26
Intel score
Even on form
Form intelligence scores are close (26 vs 23).
50% confWatford
23
Intel score
Chelsea and Watford are closely matched on recent form.
- Chelsea: 0.6 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Watford: 0.5 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (75% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Underrated output: Chelsea average 1.70 xG/game despite 0.6 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Chelsea→ stable
0.60weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.50
52% conf · n=10Watford→ stable
0.50weighted PPG
raw 0.60 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.20
50% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Chelsea
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable
Watford
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable