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Derby County vs Swansea City – Championship
Form Intelligence
medium dataDerby County
59
Intel score
Derby County form edge
Derby County rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (59 vs 42).
65% confSwansea City
42
Intel score
Derby County carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Derby County: 1.82 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read volatile.
- Swansea City: 1.59 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
True Form (weighted)
Derby County↯ volatile
1.82weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.33Venue-adj 2.25
65% conf · n=10Swansea City→ stable
1.59weighted PPG
raw 1.60 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.23Venue-adj 1.60
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Derby County
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable