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Estoril vs Nacional – Liga Portugal
Match Intelligence Center
Liga Portugal
FULL TIME
1:1
HT 0–1
Game ended in draw.
Stadium
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Capacity
8,000
Pitch
Grass
Weather
19°C · Light rain · 5 m/s
xG
1.611.37
Shots
139
Possession
59%41%
Corners
65
Cards
33
Fouls
1315
Form Intelligence
high dataEstoril
17
Intel score
Nacional form edge
Nacional rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (48 vs 17).
77% confNacional
48
Intel score
Nacional carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Estoril: 0.63 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Nacional: 1.11 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 4 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Estoril→ stable
0.63weighted PPG
raw 0.50 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.23Venue-adj 0.60
81% conf · n=10Nacional→ stable
1.11weighted PPG
raw 1.20 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.47Venue-adj 1.00
77% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Estoril
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable