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Ethiopia vs Malawi – CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Match Intelligence Center
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Form Intelligence
medium dataEthiopia
57
Intel score
Ethiopia form edge
Ethiopia rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (57 vs 46).
65% confMalawi
46
Intel score
Ethiopia carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Ethiopia: 1.77 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read volatile.
- Malawi: 1.05 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (30% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Ethiopia↯ volatile
1.77weighted PPG
raw 1.60 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.49Venue-adj 2.17
65% conf · n=10Malawi→ stable
1.05weighted PPG
raw 1.30 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.94Venue-adj 1.13
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Ethiopia
Surface unknown