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Everton vs Aston Villa – Premier League
xG
1.201.20
Shots
1011
Possession
50%50%
Corners
85
Cards
21
Fouls
1710
Form Intelligence
high dataEverton
42
Intel score
Aston Villa form edge
Aston Villa rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (68 vs 42).
83% confAston Villa
68
Intel score
Aston Villa carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Everton: 0.89 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Aston Villa: 2.16 weighted PPG (rising), opponent read volatile.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (80% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Everton→ stable
0.89weighted PPG
raw 0.90 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.77Venue-adj 1.00
83% conf · n=10Aston Villa▲ rising
2.16weighted PPG
raw 1.90 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.46Venue-adj 1.67
83% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Everton
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable