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Excelsior vs AZ – Eredivisie
Form Intelligence
medium dataExcelsior
36
Intel score
AZ form edge
AZ rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (49 vs 36).
65% confAZ
49
Intel score
AZ carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Excelsior: 1.34 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- AZ: 1.29 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read understated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
True Form (weighted)
Excelsior→ stable
1.34weighted PPG
raw 1.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.05Venue-adj 1.00
65% conf · n=10AZ→ stable
1.29weighted PPG
raw 1.40 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.97Venue-adj 1.00
69% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Excelsior
artificial turf pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable