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Greece vs Moldova – WC Qualification Europe
Match Intelligence Center
WC Qualification Europe
Form Intelligence
high dataGreece
38
Intel score
Greece form edge
Greece rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (38 vs 10).
75% confMoldova
10
Intel score
Greece carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Greece: 0.85 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read understated.
- Moldova: 0.39 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Underrated output: Greece average 1.63 xG/game despite 0.85 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Greece→ stable
0.85weighted PPG
raw 0.90 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.87Venue-adj 1.20
77% conf · n=10Moldova→ stable
0.39weighted PPG
raw 0.30 · vol low
Opponent-adj 0.15Venue-adj 0.33
75% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Greece
Surface unknown