Guarani 2-1 Fortaleza | Serie B | GoalPulz

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Guarani vs Fortaleza – Serie B

Match Intelligence Center

Serie B·Brazil 🇧🇷·🕒 Tue, 25 Aug 2009, 22:30

FULL TIME

2:1

HT 0–0

Form Guide →Head-to-Head →

Overview H2H Form Intel

Form Intelligence

low data

Guarani

31

Intel score

Fortaleza form edge

Fortaleza rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (56 vs 31).

50% conf

Fortaleza

56

Intel score

Fortaleza carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.

Guarani: 0.79 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
Fortaleza: 1.71 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read unknown.
Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.

True Form (weighted)

Guarani→ stable

0.79weighted PPG

raw 0.90 · vol medium

Venue-adj 1.25

50% conf · n=10

Fortaleza↯ volatile

1.71weighted PPG

raw 1.60 · vol high

Venue-adj 0.80

50% conf · n=10

Surface & Venue

Guarani

Surface unknown

Fortaleza

Surface unknown

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Football data and analysis. Match data licensed from Sportmonks; probabilities and form models are our own. For information, not betting advice.

Opponent Quality

Guaraniunknown

Standings/opponent data unavailable.

15% conf · n=10

Fortalezaunknown

Standings/opponent data unavailable.

15% conf · n=10

Market Shape

Analytical context, not tips

Goals

Over 2.5 goalsunder72%

40% of recent matches went over 2.5. n=20

＋ Guarani 40% · Fortaleza 40%

－ Recent games trending low-scoring

Both teams to scoreunder76%

BTTS hit in 35% of recent matches. n=20

Corners

Corners 9.5+over90%

~11.0 total corners/game across both sides. n=20

Cards

Cardsover90%

~5.2 total cards/game across both sides. n=20

False Form

No inflated-form signals.

Hidden Strength

Narrow losseshome

3 of the losses were by a single goal. 40% conf

3 one-goal defeats

Data Caveats

Opponent quality not classified (standings missing).
Sparse xG coverage in recent matches.
Same-surface splits unavailable — per-match pitch surface is not tracked.
Opponent quality not classified (standings missing).
Sparse xG coverage in recent matches.
Same-surface splits unavailable — per-match pitch surface is not tracked.

MATCH INTELFT

Result Snapshot

Guarani win 2–1

Match Signals

Match signals appear once verified xG, shots and pressure data is available.

Prediction

Model snapshotPending

Model read appears when available.

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