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Guinea vs Malawi – CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Match Intelligence Center
CAF World Cup Qualifiers
Stadium
Alexandria Stadium
Capacity
19,676
Pitch
Grass
Form Intelligence
medium dataGuinea
31
Intel score
Malawi form edge
Malawi rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (46 vs 31).
65% confMalawi
46
Intel score
Malawi carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Guinea: 1.18 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Malawi: 1.05 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (35% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Guinea→ stable
1.18weighted PPG
raw 1.40 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.58Venue-adj 1.20
65% conf · n=10Malawi→ stable
1.05weighted PPG
raw 1.30 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.94Venue-adj 1.13
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Guinea
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable