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Lebanon vs Iraq – WC Qualification Asia
Match Intelligence Center
WC Qualification Asia
xG
——
Shots
1116
Possession
55%45%
Corners
76
Cards
21
Fouls
915
Form Intelligence
medium dataLebanon
74
Intel score
Lebanon form edge
Lebanon rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (74 vs 36).
65% confIraq
36
Intel score
Lebanon carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Lebanon: 2.1 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Iraq: 0.68 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Thin underlying output: Winning despite only 5.9 shots/game.
True Form (weighted)
Lebanon→ stable
2.10weighted PPG
raw 2.00 · vol medium
65% conf · n=10Iraq→ stable
0.68weighted PPG
raw 0.90 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.60
71% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Lebanon
Surface unknown
Iraq
Surface unknown