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Liverpool vs Arsenal – Premier League
Form Intelligence
medium dataLiverpool
27
Intel score
Arsenal form edge
Arsenal rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (58 vs 27).
69% confArsenal
58
Intel score
Arsenal carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Liverpool: 1.02 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Arsenal: 2.19 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (35% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Inflated form: Arsenal's strong run is built on bottom-half opponents.
True Form (weighted)
Liverpool→ stable
1.02weighted PPG
raw 1.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.31Venue-adj 1.60
69% conf · n=10Arsenal→ stable
2.19weighted PPG
raw 2.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.05Venue-adj 1.60
73% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Liverpool
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable