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Manchester City vs Arsenal – Premier League
Match Intelligence Center
Premier League
FULL TIME
2:1
HT 1–1
Stadium
Etihad Stadium
Capacity
53,400
Pitch
Grass
xG
1.761.38
Shots
159
Possession
59%41%
Corners
85
Cards
22
Fouls
512
Form Intelligence
medium dataManchester City
64
Intel score
Manchester City form edge
Manchester City rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (64 vs 58).
67% confArsenal
58
Intel score
Manchester City carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Manchester City: 1.74 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Arsenal: 2.19 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Inflated form: Arsenal's strong run is built on bottom-half opponents.
True Form (weighted)
Manchester City→ stable
1.74weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 2.00Venue-adj 1.50
67% conf · n=10Arsenal→ stable
2.19weighted PPG
raw 2.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.05Venue-adj 2.00
73% conf · n=10