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Mexico vs Ecuador – World Cup
xG
1.220.48
Shots
157
Possession
43%57%
Corners
38
Cards
04
Fouls
1014
Form Intelligence
medium dataMexico
79
Intel score
Mexico form edge
Mexico rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (79 vs 61).
71% confEcuador
61
Intel score
Mexico carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Mexico: 2.28 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Ecuador: 1.63 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (35% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Home-heavy sample: 90% of the run was at home.
True Form (weighted)
Mexico→ stable
2.28weighted PPG
raw 2.30 · vol medium
Venue-adj 2.22
73% conf · n=10Ecuador→ stable
1.63weighted PPG
raw 1.70 · vol medium
Venue-adj 0.80
71% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Mexico
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable
Ecuador
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable