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Middlesbrough vs Derby County – Championship
Match Intelligence Center
Championship
FULL TIME
2:1
HT 0–1
Stadium
Riverside Stadium
Capacity
34,988
Pitch
Grass
xG
1.630.84
Shots
216
Possession
74%26%
Corners
98
Cards
02
Fouls
913
Form Intelligence
high dataMiddlesbrough
30
Intel score
Derby County form edge
Derby County rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (59 vs 30).
83% confDerby County
59
Intel score
Derby County carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Middlesbrough: 1.13 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Derby County: 1.82 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read volatile.
- Underrated output: Middlesbrough average 2.27 xG/game despite 1.13 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Middlesbrough→ stable
1.13weighted PPG
raw 1.20 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.25Venue-adj 1.75
83% conf · n=10Derby County↯ volatile
1.82weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.33Venue-adj 1.50
83% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Middlesbrough
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable