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Middlesbrough vs Southampton – Championship
xG
1.961.15
Shots
2216
Possession
56%44%
Corners
115
Cards
03
Fouls
712
Form Intelligence
medium dataMiddlesbrough
30
Intel score
Southampton form edge
Southampton rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (81 vs 30).
69% confSouthampton
81
Intel score
Southampton carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Middlesbrough: 1.13 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Southampton: 2.35 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Underrated output: Middlesbrough average 1.58 xG/game despite 1.13 PPG.
True Form (weighted)
Middlesbrough→ stable
1.13weighted PPG
raw 1.20 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.25Venue-adj 1.75
69% conf · n=10Southampton→ stable
2.35weighted PPG
raw 2.40 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 2.44Venue-adj 2.60
69% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Middlesbrough