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Millwall vs Watford – Championship
Match Intelligence Center
Championship
FULL TIME
2:3
HT 0–1
Stadium
The Den
Capacity
20,146
Pitch
Grass
xG
1.771.80
Shots
1610
Possession
54%46%
Corners
55
Cards
23
Fouls
1115
Form Intelligence
high dataMillwall
44
Intel score
Millwall form edge
Millwall rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (44 vs 31).
79% confWatford
31
Intel score
Millwall carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Millwall: 1.29 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read volatile.
- Watford: 0.5 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Millwall↯ volatile
1.29weighted PPG
raw 1.40 · vol high
Opponent-adj 2.44Venue-adj 1.00
79% conf · n=10Watford→ stable
0.50weighted PPG
raw 0.60 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.00Venue-adj 0.20
81% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Millwall
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable