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Nacional vs Arouca – Liga Portugal
xG
1.312.12
Shots
2011
Possession
60%40%
Corners
33
Cards
62
Fouls
1519
Form Intelligence
high dataNacional
48
Intel score
Even on form
Form intelligence scores are close (48 vs 47).
77% confArouca
47
Intel score
Nacional and Arouca are closely matched on recent form.
- Nacional: 1.11 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Arouca: 1.76 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Nacional→ stable
1.11weighted PPG
raw 1.20 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.65Venue-adj 1.33
77% conf · n=10Arouca→ stable
1.76weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.86Venue-adj 1.33
81% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Nacional
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable