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Northern Ireland vs Italy – WC Qualification Europe
Match Intelligence Center
WC Qualification Europe
Stadium
Windsor Park
Capacity
20,332
Pitch
Grass
xG
——
Shots
412
Possession
29%71%
Corners
312
Cards
22
Fouls
1111
Form Intelligence
high dataNorthern Ireland
44
Intel score
Italy form edge
Italy rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (83 vs 44).
79% confItaly
83
Intel score
Italy carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Northern Ireland: 1.26 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read volatile.
- Italy: 2.44 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read proven.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (40% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
True Form (weighted)
Northern Ireland↯ volatile
1.26weighted PPG
raw 1.30 · vol high
Venue-adj 2.25
79% conf · n=10Italy→ stable
2.44weighted PPG
raw 2.50 · vol medium
Venue-adj 2.67
81% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Northern Ireland
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable
Italy
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable