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Parma vs AC Milan – Serie A
Match Intelligence Center
FULL TIME
2:1
HT 1–0
Parma won after full-time.
Stadium
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Capacity
27,906
Pitch
Grass
Weather
32°C · Sky is clear · 4 m/s
xG
1.631.92
Shots
917
Possession
39%61%
Corners
39
Cards
03
Fouls
913
Form Intelligence
high dataParma
30
Intel score
AC Milan form edge
AC Milan rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (42 vs 30).
85% confAC Milan
42
Intel score
AC Milan carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Parma: 1.13 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- AC Milan: 1 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read understated.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (35% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Parma→ stable
1.13weighted PPG
raw 1.10 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.78Venue-adj 1.40
85% conf · n=10AC Milan↯ volatile
1.00weighted PPG
raw 1.00 · vol high
Opponent-adj 0.79Venue-adj 1.20
85% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Parma
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable