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RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 – Bundesliga
Match Intelligence Center
Bundesliga
FULL TIME
3:1
RB Leipzig won after full-time.
Stadium
Red Bull Arena
Capacity
47,069
Pitch
Grass
xG
——
Shots
1511
Possession
49%51%
Corners
36
Cards
03
Fouls
1312
Form Intelligence
high dataRB Leipzig
59
Intel score
FSV Mainz 05 form edge
FSV Mainz 05 rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (66 vs 59).
81% confFSV Mainz 05
66
Intel score
FSV Mainz 05 carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- RB Leipzig: 1.84 weighted PPG (falling), opponent read volatile.
- FSV Mainz 05: 2.1 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read volatile.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (80% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
True Form (weighted)
RB Leipzig▼ falling
1.84weighted PPG
raw 2.10 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.99Venue-adj 3.00
81% conf · n=10FSV Mainz 05→ stable
2.10weighted PPG
raw 1.90 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.70Venue-adj 2.60
81% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
RB Leipzig
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable