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St. Pauli vs Holstein Kiel – Bundesliga
Match Intelligence Center
Bundesliga
FULL TIME
3:1
HT 1–0
Stadium
Millerntor-Stadion
Capacity
29,546
Pitch
Grass
Form Intelligence
medium dataSt. Pauli
28
Intel score
Holstein Kiel form edge
Holstein Kiel rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (59 vs 28).
50% confHolstein Kiel
59
Intel score
Holstein Kiel carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- St. Pauli: 1.05 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Holstein Kiel: 1.85 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (70% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
St. Pauli→ stable
1.05weighted PPG
raw 0.80 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.12Venue-adj 0.20
65% conf · n=10Holstein Kiel→ stable
1.85weighted PPG
raw 2.00 · vol medium
Venue-adj 2.00
50% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
St. Pauli
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable