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Start vs Vard – NM Cup
NM Cup
Form Intelligence
low dataStart
21
Intel score
Vard form edge
Vard rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (60 vs 21).
50% confVard
60
Intel score
Vard carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Start: 0.42 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Vard: 1.87 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (70% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Start→ stable
0.42weighted PPG
raw 0.50 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.00
70% conf · n=10Vard→ stable
1.87weighted PPG
raw 2.00 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.60
50% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Start
Surface unknown
Vard
Surface unknown