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Toluca vs Celaya – Copa MX
Copa MX
xG
——
Shots
1411
Possession
63%37%
Corners
21
Cards
27
Fouls
——
Form Intelligence
low dataToluca
33
Intel score
Celaya form edge
Celaya rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (49 vs 33).
50% confCelaya
49
Intel score
Celaya carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Toluca: 0.85 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Celaya: 1.48 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans under 2.5 (30% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 5 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Toluca→ stable
0.85weighted PPG
raw 0.80 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.33
68% conf · n=10Celaya↯ volatile
1.48weighted PPG
raw 1.50 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.00
50% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Toluca
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable
Celaya
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable