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Toluca vs Monterrey – Liga MX
Match Intelligence Center
Liga MX⚽ Jesús Angulo 23'⚽ Paulinho 25'⚽ Nicolás Castro 34'⚽ Paulinho 40'⚽ Paulinho 52'⚽ Nicolás Castro 62'
FULL TIME
6:2
HT 4–2
Toluca won after full-time.
Stadium
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Capacity
3,500
Pitch
Grass
Weather
15°C · Heavy intensity rain · 2 m/s
xG
3.162.82
Shots
2416
Possession
46%54%
Corners
62
Cards
11
Fouls
114
Form Intelligence
high dataToluca
36
Intel score
Monterrey form edge
Monterrey rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (50 vs 36).
83% confMonterrey
50
Intel score
Monterrey carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Toluca: 0.78 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read understated.
- Monterrey: 1.32 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read understated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (60% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 6 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Toluca→ stable
0.78weighted PPG
raw 0.70 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.00
83% conf · n=10Monterrey→ stable
1.32weighted PPG
raw 1.10 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.00
83% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Toluca
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable