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Toulouse vs Brest – Ligue 1
Match Intelligence Center
Ligue 1
FULL TIME
2:4
HT 0–2
Brest won after full-time.
⚽ Justin Bourgault 22'⚽ Mathias Pereira Lage 26'⚽ Kamory Doumbia 62'⚽ Mahdi Camara 90'
Stadium
Stadium de Toulouse
Capacity
33,150
Weather
15°C · Clear sky · 6 m/s
xG
2.171.85
Shots
1710
Possession
53%47%
Corners
103
Cards
05
Fouls
1018
Form Intelligence
high dataToulouse
51
Intel score
Toulouse form edge
Toulouse rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (51 vs 12).
81% confBrest
12
Intel score
Toulouse carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Toulouse: 1.54 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read volatile.
- Brest: 0.45 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Toulouse→ stable
1.54weighted PPG
raw 1.40 · vol high
Venue-adj 1.40
83% conf · n=10Brest→ stable
0.45weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol low
Opponent-adj 0.39Venue-adj 0.25
81% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Toulouse
Surface unknown