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Varegg vs Forde – 3. Division - Group 3
Form Intelligence
medium dataVaregg
16
Intel score
Forde form edge
Forde rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (55 vs 16).
65% confForde
55
Intel score
Forde carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Varegg: 0.59 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Forde: 1.7 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read volatile.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 3 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Varegg→ stable
0.59weighted PPG
raw 0.60 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 0.45Venue-adj 1.00
65% conf · n=10Forde↯ volatile
1.70weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol high
Opponent-adj 1.44Venue-adj 1.20
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Varegg
artificial turf pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable