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Watford vs Derby County – Championship
Match Intelligence Center
Championship
FULL TIME
2:3
Derby County won after full-time.
Stadium
Vicarage Road (Watford)
Form Intelligence
medium dataWatford
23
Intel score
Derby County form edge
Derby County rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (59 vs 23).
66% confDerby County
59
Intel score
Derby County carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Watford: 0.5 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read unknown.
- Derby County: 1.82 weighted PPG (volatile), opponent read unknown.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (65% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Watford→ stable
0.50weighted PPG
raw 0.60 · vol medium
Venue-adj 1.00
66% conf · n=10Derby County↯ volatile
1.82weighted PPG
raw 1.80 · vol high
Venue-adj 1.50
68% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Watford
Surface unknown
Derby County