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Watford vs Wrexham – Championship
Match Intelligence Center
Championship
FULL TIME
3:1
HT 2–0
Stadium
Vicarage Road
Capacity
21,400
Pitch
Grass
Form Intelligence
medium dataWatford
10
Intel score
Wrexham form edge
Wrexham rate higher on weighted, opponent-adjusted form (30 vs 10).
65% confWrexham
30
Intel score
Wrexham carry the stronger recent form once weighted and opponent-adjusted.
- Watford: 0.37 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Wrexham: 1.11 weighted PPG (stable), opponent read inflated.
- Goals shape leans over 2.5 (70% of recent matches went over 2.5.).
- Narrow losses: 2 of the losses were by a single goal.
True Form (weighted)
Watford→ stable
0.37weighted PPG
raw 0.40 · vol low
Opponent-adj 0.18Venue-adj 0.50
65% conf · n=10Wrexham→ stable
1.11weighted PPG
raw 1.20 · vol medium
Opponent-adj 1.34Venue-adj 1.60
65% conf · n=10Surface & Venue
Watford
grass pitch · per-surface metrics unavailable